Warren Wilson 
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 69.2021
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
218 H Pfeiffer USA South Atl ( 2-11, 65.6) 12-11
222 H Huntingdon USA South Atl ( 3- 9, 67.2) 20-16
304 H Ferrum Old Dominion ( 7- 8, 74.6) 4-20
308 A Averett Old Dominion ( 5- 6, 74.6) 8-21
312 A North Carolina Wesleya USA South Atl ( 0-11, 60.8) 16- 7
318 A Brevard USA South Atl ( 7- 8, 71.4) 6-16
402 H Greensboro USA South Atl ( 5-10, 68.2) 19-11
430 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (14- 4, 93.6) 1-23
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H Pfeiffer 12-11 1 4 - -3.14
222 H Huntingdon 20-16 4 3 1.46
304 H Ferrum 4-20 -16 -5 -0.06
308 A Averett 8-21 -13 -6 0.00
312 A North Carolina Wesleya 16- 7 9 8 0.00
318 A Brevard 6-16 -10 -3 - -2.32
402 H Greensboro 19-11 8 1 + 3.55
430 A Salisbury 1-23 -22 -25 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H Pfeiffer 12-11 1 4 - -3.14
318 A Brevard 6-16 -10 -3 - -2.32
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 H Greensboro 19-11 8 1 + 3.55
|
Warren Wilson Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adrian |
Adrian |
|
 
| Adrian |
Albertus Magnus |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Albion |
Albion |
|
 
| Albion |
Albright |
Albright |
|
 
| Albright |
Alfred |
Alfred |
|
 
| Alfred |
Alfred State |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Allegheny |
Allegheny |
|
 
| Allegheny |
Alma |
Alma |
|
 
| Alma |
Alvernia |
Alvernia |
|
 
| Alvernia |
Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
Anderson (IN) |
Anderson (IN) |
|
 
| Anderson (IN) |
Anna Maria |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Arcadia |
Arcadia |
|
 
| Arcadia |
Augsburg |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Augustana (IL) |
Augustana (IL) |
|
 
| Augustana (IL) |
Aurora |
Aurora |
|
 
| Aurora |
Averett |
Averett |
Averett |
 
| |
Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
Baldwin Wallace |
Baldwin Wallace |
|
 
| Baldwin Wallace |
Bard |
Bard |
|
 
| Bard |
Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
Beloit |
Beloit |
|
 
| Beloit |
Berry |
Berry |
|
 
| Berry |
Bethany |
Bethany |
|
 
| Bethany |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
Brevard |
Brevard |
Brevard |
 
| |
Bridgewater |
Bridgewater |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bridgewater |
Bridgewater State |
Bridgewater State |
|
 
| Bridgewater State |
Brockport |
Brockport |
|
 
| Brockport |
Buffalo State |
Buffalo State |
|
 
| Buffalo State |
Cal Lutheran |
Cal Lutheran |
|
 
| Cal Lutheran |
Calvin |
Calvin |
|
 
| Calvin |
Canton |
Canton |
|
 
| Canton |
Capital |
Capital |
|
 
| Capital |
Carroll |
Carroll |
|
 
| Carroll |
Carthage |
Carthage |
|
 
| Carthage |
Castleton |
Castleton |
|
 
| Castleton |
Catholic |
Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Catholic |
Cedar Crest |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Centenary (NJ) |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Centre |
Centre |
|
 
| Centre |
Chapman |
Chapman |
|
 
| Chapman |
Chatham |
Chatham |
|
 
| Chatham |
Chicago |
Chicago |
|
 
| Chicago |
Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Christopher Newport |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
|
 
| Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
Clark |
Clark |
|
 
| Clark |
Clarkson |
Clarkson |
|
 
| Clarkson |
Coast Guard |
Coast Guard |
|
 
| Coast Guard |
Colby |
Colby |
|
 
| Colby |
Colby-Sawyer |
Colby-Sawyer |
|
 
| Colby-Sawyer |
Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
 
| Colorado College |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
|
 
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Connecticut College |
Connecticut College |
|
 
| Connecticut College |
Cornell College |
Cornell College |
|
 
| Cornell College |
Cortland |
Cortland |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Cortland |
Curry |
Curry |
|
 
| Curry |
Dean |
Dean |
|
 
| Dean |
Delaware Valley |
Delaware Valley |
|
 
| Delaware Valley |
Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
DePauw |
DePauw |
|
 
| DePauw |
DeSales |
DeSales |
|
 
| DeSales |
Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
 
| Dickinson |
Drew |
Drew |
|
 
| Drew |
Eastern |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
Eastern Connecticut |
Eastern Connecticut |
|
 
| Eastern Connecticut |
Eastern Mennonite |
Eastern Mennonite |
|
Eastern Mennonite   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Edgewood |
Edgewood |
|
 
| Edgewood |
Elizabethtown |
Elizabethtown |
|
 
| Elizabethtown |
Elmhurst |
Elmhurst |
|
 
| Elmhurst |
Elmira |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Elms |
Elms |
|
 
| Elms |
Emerson |
Emerson |
|
 
| Emerson |
Emmanuel (MA) |
Emmanuel (MA) |
|
 
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Endicott |
Endicott |
|
 
| Endicott |
Farmingdale State |
Farmingdale State |
|
 
| Farmingdale State |
FDU-Florham |
FDU-Florham |
|
 
| FDU-Florham |
Ferrum |
Ferrum |
Ferrum |
 
| |
Fitchburg State |
Fitchburg State |
|
 
| Fitchburg State |
Framingham State |
Framingham State |
|
 
| Framingham State |
Franciscan |
Franciscan |
|
 
| Franciscan |
Franklin |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Franklin & Marshall |
Fredonia |
Fredonia |
|
 
| Fredonia |
Geneseo |
Geneseo |
|
 
| Geneseo |
Geneva College |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
George Fox |
George Fox |
|
 
| George Fox |
Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Gettysburg |
Gordon |
Gordon |
|
 
| Gordon |
Goucher |
Goucher |
|
 
| Goucher |
Greensboro |
Warren Wilson |
Warren Wilson |
 
| |
Grove City |
Grove City |
|
 
| Grove City |
Guilford |
Guilford |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Guilford |
Gwynedd Mercy |
Gwynedd Mercy |
|
 
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
 
| Hamilton |
Hamline |
Hamline |
|
 
| Hamline |
Hanover |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Hartford |
Hartford |
|
 
| Hartford |
Hartwick |
Hartwick |
|
 
| Hartwick |
Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
Hendrix |
Hendrix |
|
 
| Hendrix |
Hilbert |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Hood |
Hood |
|
 
| Hood |
Hope |
Hope |
|
 
| Hope |
Huntingdon |
Warren Wilson |
Warren Wilson |
 
| |
Husson |
Husson |
|
 
| Husson |
Illinois Tech |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Illinois Wesleyan |
Illinois Wesleyan |
|
 
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Immaculata |
Immaculata |
|
 
| Immaculata |
Ithaca |
Ithaca |
|
 
| Ithaca |
John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
Johnson & Wales |
Johnson & Wales |
|
 
| Johnson & Wales |
Kalamazoo |
Kalamazoo |
|
 
| Kalamazoo |
Kean |
Kean |
|
 
| Kean |
Keene State |
Keene State |
|
 
| Keene State |
Kenyon |
Kenyon |
|
 
| Kenyon |
Keuka |
Keuka |
|
 
| Keuka |
Kings |
Kings |
|
 
| Kings |
La Roche |
La Roche |
|
 
| La Roche |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Lasell |
Lasell |
|
 
| Lasell |
Lawrence |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Lebanon Valley |
Lebanon Valley |
|
 
| Lebanon Valley |
Lewis & Clark |
Lewis & Clark |
|
 
| Lewis & Clark |
Linfield |
Linfield |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Linfield |
Lycoming |
Lycoming |
|
 
| Lycoming |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Maine Maritime |
Maine Maritime |
|
 
| Maine Maritime |
Maine-Farmington |
Maine-Farmington |
|
 
| Maine-Farmington |
Manhattanville |
Manhattanville |
|
 
| Manhattanville |
Marian (WI) |
Marian (WI) |
|
 
| Marian (WI) |
Marietta |
Marietta |
|
 
| Marietta |
Maritime |
Maritime |
|
 
| Maritime |
Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Mary Washington |
Marymount |
Marymount |
|
 
| Marymount |
Marywood |
Marywood |
|
 
| Marywood |
Massachusetts Maritime |
Massachusetts Maritime |
|
 
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Massachusetts-Boston |
Massachusetts-Boston |
|
 
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Massachusetts-Dartmouth |
Massachusetts-Dartmouth |
|
 
| Massachusetts-Dartmouth |
McDaniel |
McDaniel |
|
 
| McDaniel |
Merchant Marine |
Merchant Marine |
|
 
| Merchant Marine |
Meredith |
Meredith |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Meredith |
Messiah |
Messiah |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Messiah |
Methodist |
Methodist |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Methodist |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Misericordia |
Misericordia |
|
 
| Misericordia |
MIT |
MIT |
|
 
| MIT |
Mitchell |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Montclair State |
Montclair State |
|
 
| Montclair State |
Moravian |
Moravian |
|
 
| Moravian |
Morrisville |
Morrisville |
|
 
| Morrisville |
Mount Aloysius |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Mount Holyoke |
Mount Holyoke |
|
 
| Mount Holyoke |
Mount St Joseph |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Mount St Mary (NY) |
Mount St Mary (NY) |
|
 
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Mount St Vincent |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Mount Union |
Mount Union |
|
 
| Mount Union |
MSOE |
MSOE |
|
 
| MSOE |
Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
Muskingum |
Muskingum |
|
 
| Muskingum |
Nazareth |
Nazareth |
|
 
| Nazareth |
Neumann |
Neumann |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Neumann |
New England College |
New England College |
|
 
| New England College |
New Paltz |
New Paltz |
|
 
| New Paltz |
Nichols |
Nichols |
|
 
| Nichols |
North Carolina Wesleyan |
Warren Wilson |
Warren Wilson |
 
| |
North Central (IL) |
North Central (IL) |
|
 
| North Central (IL) |
Norwich |
Norwich |
|
 
| Norwich |
Notre Dame (MD) |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Oberlin |
Oberlin |
|
 
| Oberlin |
Occidental |
Occidental |
|
 
| Occidental |
Oglethorpe |
Oglethorpe |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Oglethorpe |
Ohio Northern |
Ohio Northern |
|
 
| Ohio Northern |
Ohio Wesleyan |
Ohio Wesleyan |
|
 
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Old Westbury |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Oneonta |
Oneonta |
|
 
| Oneonta |
Oswego |
Oswego |
|
 
| Oswego |
Otterbein |
Otterbein |
|
 
| Otterbein |
Pacific |
Pacific |
|
 
| Pacific |
Pacific Lutheran |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Pfeiffer |
Warren Wilson |
Warren Wilson |
 
| |
Piedmont |
Piedmont |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Piedmont |
Plattsburgh |
Plattsburgh |
|
 
| Plattsburgh |
Plymouth State |
Plymouth State |
|
 
| Plymouth State |
Pomona Pitzer |
Pomona Pitzer |
|
 
| Pomona Pitzer |
Potsdam |
Potsdam |
|
 
| Potsdam |
Puget Sound |
Puget Sound |
|
 
| Puget Sound |
Purchase |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Ramapo |
Ramapo |
|
 
| Ramapo |
Randolph |
Warren Wilson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Warren Wilson |
Randolph-Macon |
Randolph-Macon |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Randolph-Macon |
Redlands |
Redlands |
|
 
| Redlands |
Regis (MA) |
Regis (MA) |
|
 
| Regis (MA) |
Rhode Island College |
Rhode Island College |
|
 
| Rhode Island College |
Rhodes |
Rhodes |
|
 
| Rhodes |
RIT |
RIT |
|
 
| RIT |
Rivier |
Rivier |
|
 
| Rivier |
Roanoke |
Roanoke |
|
Roanoke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Rochester |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
Roger Williams |
Roger Williams |
|
 
| Roger Williams |
Rowan |
Rowan |
|
 
| Rowan |
RPI |
RPI |
|
 
| RPI |
Sage |
Sage |
|
 
| Sage |
Salem State |
Salem State |
|
 
| Salem State |
Salisbury |
Salisbury |
Salisbury |
 
| |
Salve Regina |
Salve Regina |
|
 
| Salve Regina |
Scranton |
Scranton |
|
 
| Scranton |
Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
 
| Sewanee |
Shenandoah |
Shenandoah |
|
Shenandoah   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Simmons |
Simmons |
|
 
| Simmons |
Skidmore |
Skidmore |
|
 
| Skidmore |
Smith |
Smith |
|
 
| Smith |
Southern Maine |
Southern Maine |
|
 
| Southern Maine |
Southern Virginia |
Southern Virginia |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Southern Virginia |
Southwestern |
Southwestern |
|
 
| Southwestern |
Spalding |
Spalding |
|
 
| Spalding |
Springfield |
Springfield |
|
 
| Springfield |
St Benedict |
St Benedict |
|
 
| St Benedict |
St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
|
 
| St John Fisher |
St Joseph (CT) |
St Joseph (CT) |
|
 
| St Joseph (CT) |
St Josephs (LI) |
St Josephs (LI) |
|
 
| St Josephs (LI) |
St Josephs College (ME) |
St Josephs College (ME) |
|
 
| St Josephs College (ME) |
St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
|
 
| St Lawrence |
St Marys (IN) |
St Marys (IN) |
|
 
| St Marys (IN) |
St Marys (MD) |
St Marys (MD) |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Marys (MD) |
St Vincent |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
Stevenson |
Stevenson |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Stevenson |
Stockton |
Stockton |
|
 
| Stockton |
Suffolk |
Suffolk |
|
 
| Suffolk |
SUNY Poly |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Susquehanna |
Susquehanna |
|
 
| Susquehanna |
Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
Sweet Briar |
Warren Wilson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Warren Wilson |
TCNJ |
TCNJ |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
TCNJ |
Thiel |
Thiel |
|
 
| Thiel |
Thomas |
Thomas |
|
 
| Thomas |
Transylvania |
Transylvania |
|
 
| Transylvania |
Trine |
Trine |
|
 
| Trine |
Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
Trinity Washington |
Warren Wilson |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Warren Wilson |
Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
U New England |
U New England |
|
 
| U New England |
Union |
Union |
|
 
| Union |
Ursinus |
Ursinus |
|
 
| Ursinus |
Utica |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Vassar |
Vassar |
|
 
| Vassar |
Vermont State-Lyndon |
Vermont State-Lyndon |
|
 
| Vermont State-Lyndon |
Virginia Wesleyan |
Virginia Wesleyan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Virginia Wesleyan |
Washington & Jefferson |
Washington & Jefferson |
|
 
| Washington & Jefferson |
Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
Washington & Lee   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Washington College |
Washington College |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Washington College |
Wellesley |
Wellesley |
|
 
| Wellesley |
Wentworth Tech |
Wentworth Tech |
|
 
| Wentworth Tech |
Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
Western New England |
Western New England |
|
 
| Western New England |
Westfield State |
Westfield State |
|
 
| Westfield State |
Westminster (PA) |
Westminster (PA) |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Westminster (PA) |
Wheaton (MA) |
Wheaton (MA) |
|
 
| Wheaton (MA) |
Whitman |
Whitman |
|
 
| Whitman |
Whittier |
Whittier |
|
 
| Whittier |
Whitworth |
Whitworth |
|
 
| Whitworth |
Widener |
Widener |
|
 
| Widener |
Wilkes |
Warren Wilson |
|
 
| Warren Wilson |
Willamette |
Willamette |
|
 
| Willamette |
William Peace |
Warren Wilson |
|
Warren Wilson   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
William Smith |
William Smith |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
William Smith |
Williams |
Williams |
|
 
| Williams |
Wilson |
Wilson |
|
 
| Wilson |
Wisconsin-Eau Claire |
Wisconsin-Eau Claire |
|
 
| Wisconsin-Eau Claire |
Wisconsin-La Crosse |
Wisconsin-La Crosse |
|
 
| Wisconsin-La Crosse |
Wisconsin-River Falls |
Wisconsin-River Falls |
|
 
| Wisconsin-River Falls |
Wisconsin-Stevens Point |
Wisconsin-Stevens Point |
|
 
| Wisconsin-Stevens Point |
Wisconsin-Stout |
Wisconsin-Stout |
|
 
| Wisconsin-Stout |
Wittenberg |
Wittenberg |
|
 
| Wittenberg |
Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
Worcester State |
Worcester State |
|
 
| Worcester State |
York |
York |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
York |
PowerWise = 32

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Pfeiffer ( 2-11, 65.6) 12-11 -34.35 6.37 -0.49 1.99 11.70
0 H Huntingdon ( 3- 9, 67.2) 20-16 -32.74 7.97 -0.49 1.99 14.89
0 H Ferrum ( 7- 8, 74.6) 4-20 -25.26 15.45 -0.49 1.99 -51.28
0 A Averett ( 5- 6, 74.6) 8-21 -25.30 15.42 0.49 1.99 -49.39
0 A North Carolina ( 0-11, 60.8) 16- 7 -39.14 1.58 0.49 1.99 4.12
0 A Brevard ( 7- 8, 71.4) 6-16 -28.51 12.21 0.49 1.99 -55.78
0 H Greensboro ( 5-10, 68.2) 19-11 -31.65 9.06 -0.49 1.99 17.06
0 A Salisbury (14- 4, 93.6) 1-23 -6.27 34.44 0.49 1.99 -11.50
------
-120.18
|
winning pts = 47.7702 losing points = -167.9549
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------